Skip to content
AI Job Stats

Manufacturing managers

MinimalExposure gradient (ILO 2025)

AI can help with a few sub-tasks (emails, paperwork), but the core of the job doesn't change.

Exposure is not job loss: it shows how much of the work generative AI could do today. Whether that turns into transformation, productivity gains or cuts depends on employers, regulation — and on you.

Exposure score
38/ 100 · ±11
050100
Average of all occupations: 30

0 = today’s generative AI cannot perform any of the job’s tasks, 100 = it could do all of them fully. The pale band is the spread across tasks.

Work out your own score ↓
Change since 2023
+2
2023 classification
Not affected

What can you do?

🤖 Written with AIThis text was written by artificial intelligence from the data points shown; it is built on verified figures but may contain mistakes.· 13/10/2026How is it made?

Manufacturing managers have minimal generative-AI exposure at 38/100, while strong group growth and replacement demand support continued opportunities. AI will chiefly enhance reporting, budgeting and production planning rather than replace operational leadership.

What changes

  • Automating production records, report drafting and performance summaries
  • Modelling budgets, monitoring costs and suggesting resource adjustments
  • Optimising production plans across quality, quantity, labour and deadlines

What stays human

  • Leading equipment acquisition, installation and site-specific decisions
  • Coordinating safety requirements and responding to shop-floor risks
  • Selecting, training and managing production staff

What to learn

  • Learn AI-assisted production planning and scenario modelling
  • Build data skills for cost, output and quality analysis
  • Strengthen equipment commissioning, safety leadership and workforce development

Task by task

The ILO scored every task of the occupation separately, as the average of two AI models (GPT-4o and Gemini). The pale band is the range between the two models' scores, the dot the ILO's final score (for a few tasks expert review placed it outside the band).

  • Controlling the preparation of production records and reports52
  • Establishing and managing budgets, monitoring production output and costs, and adjusting processes and resources to minimize costs51
  • Planning details of production activities in terms of output quality and quantity, cost, time available and labour requirements49
  • Determining, implementing and monitoring production strategies, policies and plans44
  • Consulting with and informing other managers about production matters44
  • Identifying business opportunities and determining products to be manufactured41
  • Overseeing the provision of quotes for the manufacture of specialized goods and establishing contracts with customers and suppliers35
  • Overseeing the selection, training and performance of staff.33
  • Controlling the operation of production plant and quality procedures through planning of maintenance, designation of operating hours and supply of parts and tools33
  • Researching and implementing regulatory and statutory requirements affecting manufacturing operations and the environment32
  • Coordinating the implementation of occupational health and safety requirements27
  • Overseeing the acquisition and installation of new plant and equipment17

How much does it affect you?

Every job is different: mark which of these tasks you do and how much, and we'll compute your own, time-weighted score.

For each task: I don't do it · sometimes · most of my job.

  • Controlling the preparation of production records and reports(52)
  • Establishing and managing budgets, monitoring production output and costs, and adjusting processes and resources to minimize costs(51)
  • Planning details of production activities in terms of output quality and quantity, cost, time available and labour requirements(49)
  • Determining, implementing and monitoring production strategies, policies and plans(44)
  • Consulting with and informing other managers about production matters(44)
  • Identifying business opportunities and determining products to be manufactured(41)
  • Overseeing the provision of quotes for the manufacture of specialized goods and establishing contracts with customers and suppliers(35)
  • Overseeing the selection, training and performance of staff.(33)
  • Controlling the operation of production plant and quality procedures through planning of maintenance, designation of operating hours and supply of parts and tools(33)
  • Researching and implementing regulatory and statutory requirements affecting manufacturing operations and the environment(32)
  • Coordinating the implementation of occupational health and safety requirements(27)
  • Overseeing the acquisition and installation of new plant and equipment(17)
Your estimated exposure score
38/ 100

You are exactly at the occupation average. (The occupation's score: 38.)

About 17% of your working time goes to highly exposed tasks (score ≥ 50).

Most affected
  • • Controlling the preparation of production records and reports
  • • Establishing and managing budgets, monitoring production output and costs, and adjusting processes and resources to minimize costs
Most likely to stay human
  • • Overseeing the acquisition and installation of new plant and equipment
  • • Coordinating the implementation of occupational health and safety requirements

An estimate from the ILO task scores. Everything is computed in your browser — nothing is sent or stored.

How many people work in this occupational group?

Share of the Production and specialised services managers group in total employment, by country (Eurostat, ISCO 2-digit — 4-digit breakdowns are not public by country).

Production and specialised services managers
Table view
CountryProduction and specialised services managers
United Kingdom5.5% · 1,892 thousand · 2025
Estonia4.6% · 32 thousand · 2025
Ireland4.1% · 115 thousand · 2025
Iceland3.2% · 7 thousand · 2025
Croatia3.2% · 54 thousand · 2025
Malta3.1% · 10 thousand · 2025
Sweden3.0% · 158 thousand · 2025
Bulgaria2.8% · 82 thousand · 2025
Norway2.8% · 80 thousand · 2025
Belgium2.7% · 140 thousand · 2025
Latvia2.7% · 24 thousand · 2025
Hungary2.5% · 118 thousand · 2025
France2.5% · 728 thousand · 2025
Switzerland2.5% · 119 thousand · 2025
Netherlands2.4% · 238 thousand · 2025
Lithuania2.3% · 33 thousand · 2025
Poland2.2% · 381 thousand · 2025
Portugal2.1% · 109 thousand · 2025
Slovakia1.9% · 49 thousand · 2025
Austria1.9% · 84 thousand · 2025
Cyprus1.9% · 9 thousand · 2025
Czechia1.7% · 91 thousand · 2025
Italy1.4% · 341 thousand · 2025
Slovenia1.4% · 14 thousand · 2025
Germany1.3% · 569 thousand · 2025
Finland1.3% · 34 thousand · 2025
Spain1.3% · 292 thousand · 2025
Denmark1.2% · 38 thousand · 2025
Romania0.9% · 72 thousand · 2025
Greece0.9% · 38 thousand · 2025
3.85 m
Production and specialised services managers — EU27
Eurostat · 2025
1.9%
of all employed (EU27)

What do they earn?

Mean gross monthly earnings in the major occupational group (Managers). Eurostat's earnings survey only publishes pay by occupation at 1 digit, so this is the job's broader group. Enterprises with 10+ employees, 2022.

€5,374
EU average (gross/month)
+87% compared with the average of all occupations

By country, at purchasing power parity (PPS/month), so countries with different price levels can be compared.

  1. Switzerland8,354
  2. Italy7,983
  3. Luxembourg7,683
  4. Belgium7,390
  5. Germany7,172
  6. Denmark6,654
  7. Austria6,190
  8. Ireland6,181
  9. Finland6,101
  10. Cyprus5,842
  11. Norway5,718
  12. Iceland5,653
  13. Netherlands5,508
  14. EU275,374
  15. France5,226
  16. Sweden4,960
  17. Slovenia4,808
  18. Spain4,699
  19. Czechia4,257
  20. Portugal4,203
  21. Greece4,190
  22. Malta4,128
  23. Poland4,112
  24. Romania4,078
  25. Lithuania4,031
  26. Hungary3,641
  27. Bulgaria3,559
  28. Croatia3,524
  29. Slovakia3,418
  30. Estonia3,290
  31. Latvia3,288

Source: Eurostat Structure of Earnings Survey (earn_ses22_21), every four years. The United Kingdom is not covered by the survey.

Outlook to 2035

Employment in the Production and specialised services managers group according to Cedefop's 2026 forecast.

9010093201520192023202720312035

thousand · Cedefop Skills Forecast 2026 · 2026–2035: projection

+5.4%
Change 2025→2035
+5 k
Expansion
23 k
Replacement demand
28 k
Total expected openings

Replacement demand is the jobs left by people retiring or changing careers — even a shrinking occupation can have many openings.

Related occupations

Sources: ILO WP140 (2025) · Eurostat lfsa_egai2d · Cedefop Skills Forecast 2026 · WEF Future of Jobs 2025 · ESCO. The exposure score measures how much of an occupation's tasks generative AI could perform — not whether the job disappears. For information only, not career advice. How do we calculate this?